vendredi 13 janv 23

 

The US, France, and Germany just decided they'll send another weapons package to Ukraine.

I don’t use this term lightly but this time we can talk about the introduction of game-changing systems:

• 50 US-made Bradley infantry fighting vehicles (IFV),
• 40 German “Marder” IFVs, and
• an unknown number of French AMX-10 RC light tanks.

And this is probably only the beginning, there’s more to come. As soon as these weapons are on the battlefield, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be able to conduct what is called combined arms warfare operations, for the very first time:

All major weapons systems you need for an effective armored attack are now available to them:

• Tanks (T 72 etc. plus AMX 10)
• IFVs (Marders and Bradleys)
• Anti-Air systems (German Gepards)
• Artillery (Panzerhaubitze 2000 and others)

Without the Bradleys and the Marders, the Ukrainian infantry was simply unable to follow their tanks. Their vehicles were either too lightly armored to be used on a hot battlefield (the M113, for example) or they were unable to keep up with the tanks in heavy terrain (the Boxers, and all other wheeled vehicles).

Now every vehicle the Ukrainian Army needs to conduct a “classical” armored operation is heavily armored and on tracks. This means they can work together.

We can expect major combat operations involving these vehicles as soon as in late March or April. Based on what we’ve seen so far on the battlefield, we can expect these operations to be highly successful.

There’s nothing the Russians can do about it. They don’t have the means to counter this kind of attacks. All they can do is hope that the Americans and Germans don’t decide to donate their modern Main Battle Tanks (Abrams and Leopard 2) to Ukraine. If this happens, I wouldn’t want to be an occupier living in Donetsk or Crimea.

To answer the question: Ukraine isn’t losing this war. The free world is on their side and together, we will prevail.